Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 1009.082644 1148.073980 1304.498638 1494.611883 1720.797857 1983.003695 2312.456375
2025-05-04 805.065033 985.966942 1209.709572 1510.990383 1912.627767 2439.244256 3198.490642
2025-05-11 698.448430 894.676425 1151.996909 1522.032421 2054.086653 2813.759966 4023.958007
2025-05-18 637.741387 847.979313 1137.581353 1578.320658 2255.944952 3301.796859 5133.425795
2025-05-25 585.659224 803.009950 1114.914714 1612.983967 2424.649645 3767.610488 6335.123830
2025-06-01 537.321633 755.877780 1080.517853 1620.759525 2547.182436 4178.742278 7562.246872
2025-06-08 495.071827 712.082533 1044.272344 1617.653476 2647.155143 4567.691608 8870.663383
2025-06-15 467.468061 687.099472 1033.383892 1653.256427 2819.313086 5128.264145 10746.918728
2025-06-22 426.445724 636.684390 975.354576 1598.055542 2810.911268 5324.123125 11848.617531
2025-06-29 392.195943 593.967089 925.462009 1550.284473 2807.653050 5528.424644 13052.747023
2025-07-06 360.852877 553.335827 875.067844 1494.922567 2779.194564 5669.500914 14145.736554
2025-07-13 350.719057 547.176295 883.558063 1552.005831 2995.954031 6436.950604 17455.099991
2025-07-20 334.459199 529.857041 871.678219 1570.129459 3137.518010 7077.389920 20807.808824
2025-07-27 319.583830 513.816221 860.734328 1589.212636 3287.068956 7791.922839 24946.390378
2025-08-03 305.223477 497.391274 847.238767 1600.714124 3420.512021 8505.863193 29650.123117
2025-08-10 297.826323 492.862579 855.793982 1660.736452 3687.981755 9716.881267 37685.487399
2025-08-17 288.327353 483.628034 854.139560 1697.684366 3904.177155 10854.958015 46685.670572
2025-08-24 276.589863 469.263125 840.833760 1705.976817 4044.631153 11797.041904 55829.470846
2025-08-31 264.664214 453.662351 823.584888 1702.664474 4152.106683 12669.560925 65830.247782
2025-09-07 257.452374 446.626647 823.388593 1740.636341 4390.957798 14161.632122 82910.788428
2025-09-14 242.259193 422.939746 786.115551 1681.768435 4320.855241 14366.796901 90028.510509
2025-09-21 228.873564 402.065253 753.361092 1630.850771 4267.376954 14633.153232 98397.465584
2025-09-28 215.770210 381.042151 718.856095 1571.874213 4178.010149 14714.610890 105339.128177